Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.495027 0.563678 0.637356 0.722188 0.817038 0.919694 1.039076
2025-06-22 0.381755 0.475012 0.583070 0.717002 0.877978 1.064631 1.296809
2025-06-29 0.307431 0.415656 0.550291 0.728783 0.957722 1.239876 1.612092
2025-07-06 0.241080 0.353124 0.502304 0.713020 1.000094 1.374217 1.894698
2025-07-13 0.204741 0.322750 0.489872 0.739741 1.098820 1.590193 2.305938
2025-07-20 0.176577 0.298237 0.480725 0.768227 1.201937 1.822076 2.763130
2025-07-27 0.149675 0.270250 0.461364 0.777784 1.277358 2.021399 3.193839
2025-08-03 0.126517 0.243639 0.439351 0.778986 1.338601 2.204228 3.616455
2025-08-10 0.107236 0.219772 0.417589 0.776543 1.392193 2.378674 4.040559
2025-08-17 0.092079 0.200308 0.399939 0.777731 1.450398 2.563991 4.496183
2025-08-24 0.080177 0.184665 0.386417 0.783630 1.516015 2.765674 4.993627
2025-08-31 0.068925 0.168046 0.368298 0.778156 1.559968 2.933475 5.446895
2025-09-07 0.061572 0.158443 0.362665 0.796067 1.649208 3.188808 6.074137
2025-09-14 0.052783 0.143817 0.344532 0.786891 1.686485 3.355352 6.560126
2025-09-21 0.046896 0.134764 0.336691 0.797401 1.762484 3.598077 7.201158
2025-09-28 0.039786 0.121097 0.316442 0.778854 1.778275 3.729599 7.648521
2025-10-05 0.036652 0.117071 0.317556 0.806809 1.891745 4.055793 8.483514
2025-10-12 0.033960 0.113665 0.319584 0.836954 2.012602 4.405489 9.387985
2025-10-19 0.030498 0.107282 0.313262 0.846852 2.090627 4.675848 10.157189
2025-10-26 0.027052 0.100125 0.303786 0.847875 2.148893 4.910235 10.871192
2025-11-02 0.023890 0.093061 0.293355 0.845062 2.197907 5.128767 11.567797
2025-11-09 0.021279 0.087127 0.284981 0.846229 2.255964 5.370252 12.327100
2025-11-16 0.019154 0.082305 0.278917 0.852519 2.326543 5.643444 13.169898